Feb 11

Reviewing Mets’ Status Quo Offseason

With the Mets’ pitchers and catchers reporting tomorrow, let’s take a quick look at what they did this offseason.

When you look at the Mets’ 40-man roster – Note: trading Gabriel Ynoa to the Orioles basically cleared a spot on the 40-man for Fernando Salas – it is the same as the team that finished 87-75, eight games behind the Nationals in the NL East and lost to the Giants in the wild-card game.

CESPEDES: Doesn't fill all Mets' holes. (AP)

CESPEDES: Doesn’t fill all Mets’ holes. (AP)

That the Nationals added Adam Eaton, yet lost closer Mark Melancon, so it is questionable as to how much they improved. However, they didn’t maintain the status quo as did the Mets.

We must also note the Braves, Phillies and Marlins also made moves to improve, so the NL East isn’t just a two-horse race anymore.

The Mets’ offseason plan first included picking up Jay Bruce’s $13-million option as a hedge for Yoenis Cespedes not coming back.

The Mets then resigned Cespedes and picked up Neil Walker’s one-year $17.2 qualifying offer. They also extended Lucas Duda and brought back Jose Reyes.

Pitching wise, the Mets also brought back Jerry Blevins and Salas.

However, they were unable to trade either Bruce or Curtis Granderson, and consequently, may not have a spot for Michael Conforto, the player that manager Terry Collins proclaimed to be the team’s future No. 3 hitter.

Regarding their pitching, they had three starters – Matt Harvey, Steven Matz and Jacob deGrom – undergo surgery. Throw in Zack Wheeler and that’s four recovering from the knife. That’s four injury-related questions, and you know as well as me not all questions are answered in the positive.

Complicating matters is the Mets let Bartolo Colon get away. That’s roughly 30 starts and 200 innings, not to mention 15 victories. There’s no guarantee either Seth Lugo or Robert Gsellman can fill that void.

They also have a gap in the bullpen with the expected suspension of at least 30 games of closer Jeurys Familia. They will sub Addison Reed for Familia, but that still leaves a hole in the set-up role.

Yes, they got Cespedes and Walker – who is coming off back surgery – but GM Sandy Alderson has a $13-million outfielder he can’t trade and a myriad of pitching questions, so they didn’t get better. Once the games begin we will see they didn’t get worse.

Feb 07

Spring Training Schedule

When your spring training home is on Florida’s Atlantic Coast, there aren’t a lot of opponent’s options. They have a combined 17 games against NL East foes Atlanta, Miami and Washington, which is not always desirable, especially when seven of their last nine games are against the division.

Feb. 12: Pitchers and catchers report.

Feb. 13: Pitchers and catchers physicals.

Feb. 14: First pitchers and catchers workout.

Feb. 17: Full squad reports.

Feb. 18: Position players physicals.

Feb. 19: First full squad workout.

Feb. 24: at Red Sox, 1:05 p.m.

Feb. 25: Nationals at PSL, 1:05 p.m.

Feb. 26: Tigers at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

Feb. 27: Astros at PSL, !:10 p.m.

Feb. 28: at Marlins, 1:05 p.m.

March 1: at Cardinals, 1:05 p.m.

March 2: Marlins at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 3: Astros at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 4: at Astros, 1:05 p.m.

March 5: Cardinals at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 6: at Marlins, 1:05 p.m.

March 7: OFF

March 8 (SS): at Astros, 1:05 p.m.; and Red Sox at PSL 1:10 p.m.

March 9: Tigers at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 10 (SS): at Braves, 1:05 p.m.; Astros at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 11: Nationals at 1:10 p.m.

March 12: at Tigers, 1:05 p.m.

March 13: Marlins at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 14: at Astros, 1:05 p.m.

March 15: at Marlins, 1:05 p.m.

March 16: at Nationals, 1:05 p.m.

March 17: Cardinals at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 18: at Cardinals, 1:05 p.m.

March 19: Marlins at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 20: at Tigers, 1:05 p.m.

March 21: OFF

March 22: Marlins at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 23: at Nationals, 1:05 p.m.

March 24: Astros at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 25: at Braves, 1:05 p.m.

March 26: Braves at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 27 (SS): at Marlins, 1:05 p.m.; Nationals at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 28: Cardinals at PSL, 1:10 p.m.

March 29: at Braves, 1:05 p.m.

NOTES and COMMENTS: 14 road games; 15 home games; no night games; 17 games vs. NL East opponents Washington, Miami and Atlanta; three split-squad dates; four exhibition games vs. Braves, including March 29, then open the season April 3 vs. Atlanta on Opening Day at Citi Field.

Jan 16

Let’s Hedge Raves About Mets’ Rotation

Many of the baseball preview magazines are already on the newsstands, with more than a few suggesting the Mets have one of the sports’ top rotations. However, they omit one word in the description, that being “potentially.”

The Cubs, Giants, Boston, Cleveland are all right there. So are the Nationals. The Mets? Well, if healthy, their group can throw as hard as anybody, but throwing hard isn’t the issue. Four potential starters will be coming off surgery, with a fifth, Noah Syndergaard, gutting through the second half of the season with bone spurs in his elbow.

Matt Harvey (shoulder) had seasons cut short by the knife in 2013 and 2016 and missed all of 2014; Jacob deGrom and Steven Matz each had elbow surgery; Zack Wheeler hasn’t pitched in two years; and, they did not bring back Bartolo Colon. The Mets clearly have health issues, which is why they aren’t listening to calls for Seth Lugo and Robert Gsellman, knowing they might need them this summer, either as a starter or in a relief role.

Harvey, deGrom and Matz each have had surgery twice, and Wheeler’s surgery hasn’t worked out. We can’t assume the four recovering from surgery will pitch without incident in 2017, nor are there any guarantees all four will bounce back. That’s banking on a lot of things working out positively, including nothing happening with Syndergaard.

Even if they did, you can’t forget none of the Mets’ young studs have won more that 15 games, much less 20, or pitched more than 200 regular-season innings. The Mets’ young arms are immensely talented with loads of potential, but championships are won on proven production and not potential.

If everything breaks to the positive, it could be a sweet season reminiscent of 2015, but there are no guarantees.

 

Jan 08

Brief Comparisons Between Mets And Nationals

The Washington Nationals won 95 games last year and had a plus-151 run differential. While it is hard to project how many victories they’ll have this summer, they realistically should be good for at least 90 victories based on the following:

Bryce Harper had a miserable dropoff is batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Assuming he stays healthy his numbers should improve, at least enough to off-set any drop from Daniel Murphy.

The acquisition of outfielder Adam Eaton from the White Sox is expected to improve the offense, which also should be aided by a full season from Trea Turner. Together that should make up for the declines of Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth.

However – and there’s always a however – the Nationals have issues.

Just as the Mets are optimistic in the comebacks of Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom and Steven Matz, so are the Nationals expecting returns from Stephen Strasburg and Joe Ross.

Washington couldn’t keep closer Mark Melancon, which puts them on a par with the Mets, who are expecting to be without closer Jeurys Familia for at least the first month. Both teams need to patch their bullpens.

In comparing the Nationals and Mets, Washington added to a 95-win team while New York basically kept the status quo and is banking heavily on their injured pitchers bouncing back.

 

 

 

 

Dec 05

Mets Vs. Nats At Winter Meetings

The Winter Meetings officially start today at the Gaylord National Harbor convention center in suburban Washington and the host Nationals are already trying to make a splash while our Mets are barely sticking their toes in the water.

imagesThe hot rumor has the Nationals in the market for both Andrew McCutchen and Chris Sale. They are also in it for reliever Mark Melancon. Rumors always swirl this time of year, but that one is a beauty.

That would obviously put Washington over the top in the NL East.

Meanwhile, the Mets’ order of business is to attempt to trade Jay Bruce or Curtis Granderson – and there are reports GM Sandy Alderson might listen to offers for Michael Conforto – and possibly convert Zack Wheeler to the bullpen.

The Wheeler item is interesting and I’ll have more on that later.

I’m not saying the Nationals will get both McCutcheon and Sale, or either of them, but clearly the Mets and Nationals aren’t shopping in the same aisle. They aren’t even shopping in the same store.

I’ll have updates on these and other items throughout the day.

For those of you who regard the Yankees as the Mets’ fiercest competition, they already made themselves better by acquiring Matt Holliday from St. Louis to fill their DH hole. It weakens the Cardinals, so that’s a good thing.

Photo credit: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette