BAY: Is he the right fit?
The offer is out there, four years at $65-million, which I don’t believe is enough to bring Jason Bay
to the Mets. I may have overestimated in an earlier post on Bay’s asking value, but hold fast the Mets’ initial offer won’t get it done.
Before jumping on the Bay Bandwagon, let’s kick the tires a bit and look at some of the reasons to be cautious with him.
* He’s a dead pull hitter, which everybody is saying fits the style for Citi Field. That said, don’t you think pitchers know that and will give him nothing but breaking stuff over the plate? I can envision another David Wright dropoff.
* What does it say to you that the team that knows him best prefers Matt Holliday and is holding firm at four years, $60 million. Posturing? Perhaps. But, it must be considered.
* At 31, he’ll be 35 at the end of a presumably back-loaded contract. If the Mets make it five years, he’ll be 36. There are reports in Boston the Red Sox would have to move Bay to the DH slot at the end of his contract for concern of him being a defensive liability.
* Bay is a strikeout machine, fanning 162 times last season and not less that 129 in his career.
Reportedly, the procedure on Jeff Francoeur’s left thumb was more complicated than originally thought, caused because he played with the injury instead of shutting it down. With the season over from a competitive standpoint, there was no reason to keep pushing the envelope with Francoeur. He’s supposedly will be ready for spring training, but what if he weren’t? The risk wasn’t worth it.
These guys are investments, and you don’t take unnecessary risks. It wasn’t as if the Mets had a World Series to win. At the time, they couldn’t have even finished at .500.
Well, you can’t say the Mets didn’t make an offer to one of the Big Three. They are in at a $65 million over four years for Jason Bay. Considering the initial Red Sox offer was for $60 million and he’s reportedly asking for $80 million indicates the Mets are in an auction they have no chance of winning.
The Mets will need to up their offer by at least 50 percent to be a serious contender for Bay.
The Mets are expected to offer catcher Bengie Molina a contract before the winter meetings break up this afternoon. If so, they obviously won’t get a response today. Just because the Mets will leave Indianapolis without making a splash it doesn’t mean they won’t get something done.
Omar Minaya said the Mets are talking and laying the groundwork for the future. It’s usually like this during the winter meetings. Not too often does the blockbuster happen during the meetings as it usually is an information gathering process. For free agents, there’s usually the obligatory visit to the new city and stadium to be wined and dined.
Minaya said the Mets would be “players,” but he didn’t say big players and there’s a difference.
Reports out of Boston has the Mets interested in Jason Bay. Why wouldn’t they be? However, interest and willingness are two different things. Omar Minaya said they are in contact with agents and general managers.
This would include the agent for Bay.
Because Bay would be the cheapest of the Big Three – John Lackey and Matt Holliday – he would be a more probable signing. Even so, the reported numbers are still steep at $!6 million a season for five years. That’s an $80 million chunk of change, and my impression is if the Mets spent that kind of money they’ll spread it over several areas.
Bay is a good player, but not that good.