The latest issue of Baseball Prospectus projects the Mets to finish in second place in the NL East behind Washington with an 82-80 record, which would be their first winning season since 2008.
That would be good enough to be tied with Chicago for sixth place in the National League, but not make the playoffs for the first time since 2006.
Here how the publication projects the National League:
Los Angeles 97-65
St. Louis 89-73
San Francisco 84-78
San Diego 83-79
Last year the Mets were tied for second with Atlanta in the division at 79-83. If the publication were correct, we would be talking of an improvement of three games with a minimum of additions with offseason.
Using the publication’s figures, the Mets need to win at least 84 games to be a wild card. To do that they must improve by five games, and are banking on that happening with the healthy returns of Matt Harvey and David Wright.
When you look at it, that’s an extra five victories a month, which isn’t unrealistic.