Aug 06

Reyes coming to Earth?

Jose Reyes said he’s 100 percent, but he’s not really. He’s not been the player he was before going on the disabled list with a hamstring, and while he’s still had a good year, he once again served reminder of the dangers of giving him a long-term contract in the neighborhood of seven years.

REYES: Vulnerabilities showing.

The offensive rap on Reyes has always been giving away too many at-bats at the plate and falling back into bad habits, such as pulling off the ball and adopting an uppercut swing.

What were line drives and crisp ground balls have turned into weak fly balls and pop ups. He’s taking a 2-for-13 slide into tonight’s game against the Braves, including nine fly ball outs.

Reyes has had had a marvelous season and somebody will give him a payday this winter. If not the Mets, then somebody.

However, two things have surfaced to warrant caution in anybody dealing with Reyes, with the first being his propensity to injury and breaking down.

He hasn’t played in 150 games since 2008, and since 2003 has only logged at least 150 games four times. From 2005 through 2008, Reyes had at least 56 stolen bases.

For a player who makes his living with his legs, there are breakdown signs for the 28-year-old Reyes.

With his health always a concern, so is his performance. Players will always have slides and slumps, but there are still holes in Reyes’ game that indicate Carl Crawford money of $142 million over seven years – which Fred Wilpon said he would not get – will be unattainable.

After three years of leading the NL in stolen bases, he has 32 now, his most in four years. His on-base percentage on .376 is the highest of his career, but how much is that playing for the contract? His career .339 on-base is more representative of his capabilities, and that’s not worthy of Crawford money. I don’t know if it is worth more than a $100,000 million package.

He’s never walked more than 77 times in his career and has only drawn 29 this summer. His career strikeouts-to-walks ratio is 498 to 319.

Reyes is a good player having a good season, but as the last few weeks have shown, there are vulnerabilities in his game that say Wilpon might have been right all along.


Aug 05

Tonight’s line-up; Davis to get second opinion.

Last year’s feel good story is feeling his lumps this summer. Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey salvaged the rotation when Oliver Perez was shut down, but has hardly been a surprise this year.

Dickey, tonight’s starter against Atlanta, is 5-9 with a respectable 3.77 ERA – a sign he’s not getting much support – but has two victories to show for his last ten starts.

Dickey often manages to give the Mets innings, going at least six innings in 17 of his 22 starts.

Here’s tonight’s lineup against the Braves:

Jose Reyes, SS

Justin Turner, 2B

Daniel Murphy, RF

David Wright, 3B

Angel Pagan, CF

Jason Bay, LF
Lucas Duda, RF

Josh Thole, C

R.A. Dickey, RP

NOTEBOOK: As suggested here earlier, the news isn’t encouraging for Ike Davis, who said microfracture surgery is an option. Davis will get another non-Mets opinion Tuesday. Meanwhile, Sandy Alderson said the plan is wait at least another month before deciding what to do. It would give Davis one more month of recovery and rehab if the surgery was done now. February will be quicker than you think.

Johan Santana is with the team during the home stand, but will not throw.


Aug 05

Mets shouldn’t push it with Santana and Davis.

Johan Santana has a fatigued left shoulder, which is better than another tear. Ike Davis is to be re-evaluated, but he already said he doubts he’ll play again this season.

SANTANA: No need to rush him.

Given the Mets’ history with injuries, I don’t see how anybody can be surprised by any of this, and certainly not feel disappointed about the prospect of not seeing either again this season.

If anything, I don’t want to see either this year.

I want Santana to keep working at getting stronger and not worrying about pitching again this year. It’s not ideal, but I can live with him not knowing until spring training. Even should Santana pitch again, the Mets should carry on their offseason business with the assumption he’ll breakdown again and not reach his former level.

Can you say Chien-Ming Wang?

There’s nothing to be gained by pushing Santana. There will be no playoffs, no pennant race. Let him rehab, rest and hope for the best next year.

It’s the prudent thing to do.

As far as Davis is concerned, all I see with trying to get him back is what happened with Carlos Beltran. They rehabbed him and had him come back for a few meaningless games in September and he ended up having the surgery anyway and came back late.

Learn from the past. Let the doctors take care of Davis now so at least he’ll have a chance to be ready for spring training.

Do you remember one of the vows when Sandy Alderson took over about being smarter with injuries? Well, here’s an opportunity to treat and take care of two key players.

Trying to get them back this year is just asking for trouble.


Aug 05

Today in Mets’ History: A reason to watch.

The Atlanta Braves are in town and not too long ago that was a big deal. As the Yankees and Red Sox go at it in Fenway Park for first place – it’s a worn story, but it’s real baseball – the Mets are clinging to what is left of their season.

After two disheartening losses to Florida, the Mets are 16.5 games behind first-place Philadelphia – noting for the record – and eight games behind wild-card leader Atlanta. They are also 2.5 games out of last place.

At 55-55, the Mets have exceeded most expectations to the point where the losses to the Marlins were anguishing. There was a moment this week when I actually looked at the scoreboard for the Braves score and did some quick wondering math.

The math is quite simple this weekend: Win or go home. Nothing short of a sweep will do.

For those who can’t dream of the impossible, remember on this date in Mets history they were in last place in the National League East by 11.5 games with a 48-60 record.

The Mets have the same record today as they did last season after 110 games, but even with their financial problems, there isn’t the same train wreck scenario.

Last year at this time we wondered about the job stability of Omar Minaya and Jerry Manuel, and there was the lingering stagnating cloud that was Oliver Perez and Luis Castillo.

All that negativity is gone, and with Sandy Alderson there is the hope of a rebuilding process heading in the right direction. And, considering what he was dealt, how can you not be impressed with what Terry Collins has brought to the party?

Carlos Beltran is gone, but we knew all along that would happen. We also knew this would be a season without Johan Santana. We aren’t surprised Jason Bay isn’t hitting. We can’t also be surprised by a fall off from R.A. Dickey and the bullpen lapses.

But, we didn’t expect to be without David Wright for two months and not have Ike Davis, and we thought Mike Pelfrey would take another step.

And, quite honestly, when Beltran was here, few expected him to play as well as he did.

There are still a myriad of questions and issues surrounding this team, not the least of which is its financial structure and what will become of Jose Reyes.

All that and there’s still reason to watch.

For the most part the Mets are playing hard, aggressive and interesting baseball. Not always spotless, but there is a grit about them that is appealing. Last year, mostly because of its leadership and the Perez mess, the Mets were an easy team to dislike.

However, there is a likeable quality about this group. They play with an integrity that for one more weekend at least, there is reason to watch them and wonder what if.


Aug 02

Tonight’s lineup vs. Marlins.

Maybe Terry Collins is giving Daniel Murphy a day to think over his defense, but he’s not in the lineup for tonight’s game against Florida.

Murphy’s brain freeze set up Mike Stanton’s game-winning grand slam. It also served notice Murphy remains a defensive liability and a man without a position.

GM Sandy Alderson said Murphy will not play winter ball to work on a position in hope of him mastering things during spring training.

Well, good luck with that.

Here’s tonight’s lineup:

Jose Reyes, SS

Justin Turner, 2B

David Wright, 3B

Scott Hairston, RF

Jason Bay, LF

Angel Pagan, CF

Lucas Duda, 1B

Mike Nickeas, C

Chris Capuano, LP