Ike Davis Promotion Imminent; Mets Have Decisions To Make

Reports are the New York Mets are about to recall first baseman Ike Davis from the minor leagues in time for Friday’s game in Milwaukee.

Davis was demoted June 10, and although his Triple-A Las Vegas numbers are good, the timing is interesting. When Zack Wheeler as in Vegas, the Mets harped on disregarding statistics because the atmosphere was conducive to hitting.

DAVIS: Hope he's gotten things ironed out.

DAVIS: Hope he’s gotten things ironed out.

Using that logic, Davis’ .293 average with seven homers, 13 RBI and .424 on-base percentage must also be looked at skeptically. Davis’ mechanics and approach were a mess when he was with the Mets, evidenced by his .161 average with 66 strikeouts in 186 at-bats.

Although Davis’ minor league average is good, he does have 18 strikeouts in 75 at-bats, which is still a high strikeout ratio. Using those numbers, the Mets must wonder if his approach is what it should be.

Las Vegas manager Wally Backman said Davis’ hitch isn’t as pronounced as it once was and he’s taking more balls to left field. They will know for sure when they see him firsthand.

If Davis goes back to his old habits, then he didn’t accomplish anything. If he doesn’t and produces, it gives the Mets’ two options, 1) they could decide they want to extend his contract, and if not, 2) they could opt to trade him.

Should the Mets decide they don’t want to bring him back and make a deal, they have a little less than four weeks before the July 31 trade deadline.

The backdrop to all this is Davis, at 26, has shown signs of being a power hitter with 32 homers last year. The Mets are a rebuilding team wary of finances, and might think his $3.1 million salary that would go up in arbitration, is too high.

However, whatever Davis makes in arbitration – if he becomes the player the Mets envisioned – IS NOT TOO HIGH.

I’ve been writing his salary is a factor because that’s the way it has been for the Mets. However, CEO Jeff Wilpon said the Mets have resources to add a player, and that should also apply to Davis, because for all practical purposes he hasn’t been here all year.

And, wouldn’t they want to add a 30-homer bat?

The Mets have not made any overtures of wanting to extend him, but they rarely do during a season. David Wright and Jose Reyes were exceptions in 2006.

Caught in the middle of all this is Josh Satin, who is riding a ten-game hitting streak and is batting .353. He can’t play the outfield, so it is curious if Davis’ demotion was also an attempt to showcase Satin for a trade.

While this is a transition season, there’s no law saying they have to make all their key moves in the off-season. They could be on the verge of doing something significant now.

As always, your comments are greatly appreciated and I will attempt to answer them. Please follow me on Twitter @jdelcos

15 thoughts on “Ike Davis Promotion Imminent; Mets Have Decisions To Make

  1. They kicked out Lyon because of budget issues. Before his blowup this week he was sporting a mid 3 era.

    So now we have the return of Ike after a mediocre stint in AAA where he struck out a ton and went Oh fer a lot. This performance merits a return to Queens to replace a player who is having a better season than he has in 2 years?

    Satin will get a raw deal and the Mets will lose a game or two because a strikeout machine will be inserted in the middle of the lineup where a hitter used to be. This will be good for TC’s career with the Mets because he will be ‘evaluated on his body of work’.

    You wrote earlier this week that Ike will be back so they can trade him. I hope they do, because for reasons not baseball related he is getting playing time he does not deserve. This is all about the owners and hopefully not reflective of Sandy’s baseball acumen.

    • Lyon has already earned some of his bonus money related to # of days on roster and 35 appearances. By dropping Lyon, Mets saved $400k assuming he would have got to 60 appearances. He’s already earned $1.1m.

      With a WHIP of 1.7, he pitched more poorly than his recent blowup. He simply did not have it this year. Even, a few of his “outs” came off of hits with runners being thrown out.

      Mets have lousy ownership, but let’s not get so jaundiced that we think budget for every move. Lyon was not worth the $1.1m paid so far let alone $1.5m.

      Ike is frustrating to watch. Time will tell. Satin is 2+ years older than Ike and, unlike Ike, does not have a defensive position where is not below average. Satin is a good contact hitter no power hitter who, because he can’t play middle infield, may be a nice MLB bench player. Ike has a chance to be more (or less) than that and this is the year to find that out.

  2. By the way, they should keep Satin and not trade him. If they trade him what 1B do we have for next year? I am not saying he is the future, but he is the best 1B we have had at the plate in a few years. Ike is not the answer and his play in the minors did not deserve a mlb callup.

  3. Trading Ike by the trade deadline, while not impossible, seems very unlikely. With all the attention and work put into this guy, I don’t think they are going to make a huge decision on him based on just what he does over the next 3 weeks. And it’s also unlikely barring an amazing performance by Ike (which would seemingly make the Mets less likely to trade him) and some desperation by the other team that he’d be able to build up any kind of trade value by the end of this month that would lead the Mets to pull the trigger on a deal so quickly.

    He doesn’t make a ton of money, but he might be a guy who can squeeze through waivers post the deadline this year and be traded in August. Though really if he is traded, I think it’d be most likely a move made in the offseason.

    IF Ike produces and the Mets are confident he can sustain it, I don’t think money is the issue. They have to start spending at somepoint, particularly for offense and even if Ike hits well he’s likely still going to be cheaper than big bats on the FA market…so I don’t see them shying away from paying him IF he hits and they are convinced he is going to sustain it. Money becomes an issue if you can’t trust him to perform well. After last year a big part of the problem is, even if he does hit well over the next couple months can you trust him to sustain it? Or do we have to worry that he is going to again play like the worst player in baseball for the first couple months of the year? Hopefully the “fixed” swing will lead to a more permanent solution

    • This is a lot of IF’s. He hasn’t hit in two years. Why change now?

      I think the problem is attitude. He is on record as saying he is a HR hitter and so you have to accept the SO’s. I don’t want a bat in the lineup that gives me 20-30 hr’s with1/3 AB’s being SO’s and a 200 or below BA. Someone else can have that bat. I rather have someone who gives me 15 or so HR’s with a 280 or better avg. He kills any rally’s all the time and is generally a black hole in the lineup where ever he hits.

      The only reason we are discussing him is the team is so weak. At this point I rather see what Satin can give me the rest of the season and have Ike in the minors until he can force a call up. On a normal team he would be in the minors or riding the bench. No one would talk of him starting.

  4. Today I read there is no cure for Valley Fever. Ike has to still have some of its symptoms

  5. I read Valley Fever cannot be cured. Has anyone heard anything different?

  6. So Ike is starting of course and they sit a very hot bat.

    The kicker is he is batting cleanup. Yes, you read that right. The strikeout machine with an avg south of 200 with a grand total of 5 hr and 16 RBI is batting cleanup.

    Seriously. Does anyone take the team seriously?

    What a farce.

  7. “Using that logic, Davis’ .293 average with seven homers, 13 RBI and .424 on-base percentage must also be looked at skeptically.”

    I’ll go with the improved bat contact, higher average & slugging percentage as a good indication that Ike is figuring something out. He was a complete mess at the time he was sent down, but sometimes it takes time and the right environment to make the correct adjustment. If Ike has made that type of progress, then he should be promoted without delay.

    • Tommy: The Mets laid it out there for us when they said offensive numbers can be a mirage in the PCL. I was repeating their logic. Hopefully, Davis learned something down there.-JD

  8. Can someone please explain why Ike’s salary would go up in arbitration? He’s hitting .160. How could someone determine that he is worth more than $3 million per year for that production?

    • Palmer: His salary would go up because of the process. The Mets will lowball him as they should, but it would still be a slight raise based on the rules. Davis will ask for an increase because that’s what players do. This is why the Mets are likely to not tender him because they don’t want to give a raise on that performance. You don’t understand the process because the process itself is screwed up. That’s why I believe they will let him go.-JD