What Will Mets Look Like At The End Of The Month?

Welcome to July 1, which for followers of the New York Mets is the month we find out just how much they want to blow this team apart. The New York Post already reported the Mets won’t add a significant piece, such as Carlos Gonzalez, at the trade deadline.

But, you already knew that, right?

A step forward would be trying to make a run at finishing .500, but we’re not likely to see that commitment. As of now Sandy Alderson hasn’t shown us he’s will to take that leap.

PARNELL: Key trade piece.

PARNELL: Key trade piece.

The names are out there of whom the Mets might deal for draft picks and prospects: Bobby Parnell, Marlon Byrd, Daniel Murphy, Jeremy Hefner and Dillon Gee. They would undoubtedly draw interest from a contender as each fills a need.

Trouble is, as the Mets move forward which they claim is the direction they heading, they are the kind of players they will eventually need, also. They aren’t core players, but essential in the building process. Trade them now, and you’ll need to get similar players later.

Of course, that takes more time. Dealing them tells you the Mets are blowing up what they have now and are taking a step back. It basically tells you there will be another two or three years of wasted Matt Harvey starts.

Then, there are the key prospects Noah Syndergaard and Rafael Montero, the kind of young talent that could procure a Gonzalez. If the Mets deal them, they are telling us they are ready to contend now. However, if they do that they’ll  need guys such as Hefner and Parnell and Byrd.

Trouble is, the Mets are in no-man’s land. They aren’t good enough to contend now, and we really don’t know just how long it will take until they are able to contend on any level. We have no idea of what this team will look like at the end of the month.

What we do know in the building of a franchise, as they are in Pittsburgh, is go with young pitching and a young star like Andrew McCutchen. The Mets appear to have the young pitching, despite their inclination to force-feed Zack Wheeler, but their young star, David Wright, is no longer a young star.

They need a centerpiece bat like a McCutchen or a Gonzalez, but their chips are Syndergaard and Montero. Alderson has to determine if they add Gonzalez, then what other pieces do they need?

The Mets have failed miserably in their development of young hitters. There’s Wilmer Flores, but the Mets don’t have any idea where they want to play him, or the inclination of seeing if he can hit on this level. It is puzzling as to why the Mets haven’t determined where Flores fits best and just play him at that position. Have they even considered trying him at first base and seeing what they could get for Ike Davis? With Davis possibly not being tendered this winter, he’s the one guy to deal.

The player with the most upside to trade is Parnell, but if they trade for a centerpiece bat and enter contender status, won’t they need a closer?

No, they aren’t a dime a dozen. It has taken Parnell several years to become a closer, and he’s still learning. Trade him and you’d be wasting even more Harvey starts.

If they Mets don’t want to surrender their young pitching, their only chance to emulate the Pirates is to overpay for a proven bat this winter. With Johan Santana’s money coming off the books, they must spend it there, and not on replacing the holes left by trading Parnell or Byrd or Gee.

You can see where this is heading. They’ll probably deal off a few parts whose contract will expire after this season, like Byrd and Davis. Then they’ll deem themselves not ready to spend, or what is out there isn’t good enough, and not add anybody.

They will continue to spin their wheels.

As always, your comments are greatly appreciated and I will attempt to answer them. Please follow me on Twitter @jdelcos

10 thoughts on “What Will Mets Look Like At The End Of The Month?

  1. The problem with the Mets is two players they counted on have played themselves off the team: Ike and Ruben. That is half the infield. With those two and Buck or D’Arnaud we have a complete IF. That leaves the OF which is completely barren.

    Byrd has played surprisingly well but I do not expect him to be here next year. Juan looks promising but it is early. When I asked the other day if he can be the next CarGo, I meant Carlos Gomez not Carlos Gonzoles, just wanted to make that clear.

    I would be up for trading any of the players you mention for the right player. You mention our top studs in the minors. What people have forgotten is a former top pick from LI is having a nice season – Matz.

    • dave: Not expecting Byrd next year, either. He could be gone by the end of the month. If not, it will be the same thing they did with Hairston and lowball him. … I was assuming Gonzalez. Carlos Gomez, you might recall, was traded in the Johan Santana deal.-JD

  2. Pitchers are the hardest to find and the most expensive to get, why would you trade any pitchers?

    • Because we have no OF. Our problem is we do not have consistent bats.

      They don’t even have to be power hitters. Just good players who can hit in any situation ( aka professional, not the lame hitters that have no clue that seems to be the norm these days ) with a good glove.

      A pitcher heavy club with good contact hitters with speed ( a la the cardinals of years ago ) would be a good thing for this club.

      • This is one reason I am loathe to trade Dan the Man. He is one of two consistent bats we have. He is also a decent fielder at this point.

    • Hawk: I’m not advocating trading pitching. I’m saying pitching is the best the Mets can offer. I said the best way to get the outfield bat is to spend this winter.-JD

  3. There was an interesting Bill James response on his website a couple of weeks ago. He pointed out that the St Louis Cardinal teams of the late 1960s was built on trading pitching for players because pitchers often get injured. Good players can give you 8-10 years. Brock and Cepeda are well known trades where the pitchers traded away (Broglio and Sadecki) flopped. But also Javier, Flood, White, and Groat were acquired by trading away pitching. I don’t know if I fully endorse this method- those Cardinal farm teams did produce Bob Gibson and later Steve Carlton- but it is food for thought.

    • Dan: Very interesting. I’m always reluctant to sign pitchers to long-term deals because of that reason. See: Johan Santana.-JD

  4. “The Mets have failed miserably in their development of young hitters.” excellent point JD— ochoa, martinez, milledge, payton… all their vaunted 4-5 tool players over the last 20 years have flopped…

    dont know why neither the pitching nor hitting coach under collins r held responsible
    \

    • Eric: Warthen has done a credible job with Harvey and Parnell. He should come back. The organization’s hitting philosophy has to come under question because of Davis and Duda.-JD