This usually is a fun time of the year when you get to speculate where the top free agents will land. The Mets make it easy on us, because we know they won’t go after anybody of substance.
No offense, Mike Nickeas.
The most popular theory is the Mets will jump into the free-agent market when, 1) the Wilpons sell the team, 2) when they resolve their financial problems, or 3) when hell freezes over.
For the sake of the argument, let’s assume No. 2.
We know Sandy Alderson is here at the request of the commissioner to help the Mets get their financial house in order.
But, when will that be, and what will things look like when they do?
It’s an oversimplification to assume after next year when Johan Santana’s contract is off the books. Jason Bay is gone, but reports say the buyout is deferred, so that is money still owed.
It’s wrong to assume the Mets will suddenly have flexibility, snap their fingers and start writing checks. Let’s figure three years from now they might be able, or is it willing?
Why would anybody want to come here?
Think about it, what’s the attraction?
* David Wright and R.A. Dickey could be gone, and if Wright stays he’ll be three years older and perhaps on the downside of his career.
* The assumption is the Mets will undergo more losing, thereby taking away the part of the market that wants to go to a contender.
* We don’t know how the Mets’ top pitching prospects will pan out.
* Ike Davis could leave as a free-agent.
* Most teams build around their farm system and use free agents to complement. But, what core do you see with the Mets, especially if they trade some of their young pitching?
* There’s always the money, but do they really want to sign a Jayson Werth type?